2023 NFL playoff bracket projection: Bills beat Eagles in Super Bowl LVII as we predict every game

The time has come. The 2022 NFL regular season is over and it’s time to start crowning a new champion. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles secured the first round in the AFC and NFC, respectively. Will it help them? It certainly didn’t help the Green Bay Packers and Tennessee Titans last year, who were both eliminated in the divisional round.

Which team is ready for a deep run and which favorite gets upset early? Will Josh Allen make us believe the Buffalo Bills are a team of destiny? Can Brock Purdy shock the NFL world with a Super Bowl run? Below we will try to predict the entire NFL playoff series game by game. We’ll be updating this each week as we march further and further into the postseason. Let’s jump in.

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook.

Super Wild Card Weekend

Saturday, 4:30 PM ET (Vos)

Recommended game | San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

This is going to be a rainy game so Christian McCaffrey, Elijah Mitchell and Kenneth Walker will be the main offensive weapons. These division rivals, of course, played twice in the regular season, with the 49ers winning both games. They defeated the Seahawks in Seattle by eight points and at home by 20 points.

This year was actually only the first time since 2011 that San Francisco conquered Seattle. Since 1970, there have been 23 occasions when a team won 2–0 against an opponent in the regular season and then made the playoffs for a third time. The team that went 2-0 is 14-9 in that third game. The Seahawks came through the skin of their mouths in the postseason, and I’m not going to assume they upset the 49ers in the first round.

The choice: Sea hawks +10
Projected score: 49ers 17-13

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC)

Recommended game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Here’s a rematch from Week 3 of the regular season, in which the Jaguars destroyed the Chargers in LA, 38-10. Austin Ekeler got a low touch count on the season, while Keenan Allen did not play. Last week, for some reason, Brandon Staley played his starters deep into the second half in a meaningless game against the Denver Broncos and saw Mike Williams and Joey Bosa get injured. I expect both to play this weekend, but it’s a shame Rashawn Slater won’t be there.

I’m not surprised the Chargers are favored in this matchup, but I’m going for the underdog. The Jaguars are thrilled and it was almost weird to see them have home field advantage against the Titans in Week 18. It was also noticeable that the defense won the game for Jacksonville when the offense wasn’t exactly clicking on all cylinders. .

The choice: Jaguars +2.5
Projected Score: Jaguars 27-20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Recommended game | Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa is OUT. How could you choose the dolphins without Tua? These two teams shared the season series, with the home team winning every game. Miami has lost four consecutive playoff games, each by at least 17 points! It is the first franchise in NFL history to lose four consecutive playoff games by 17 points each.

The choice: Bills -13
Projected Score: Bills 35-17

Sunday, 4:30 p.m. ET (fox)

Recommended game | Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

This matchup probably isn’t considered a “must-watch” game on Super Wild Card Weekend, but I’m glad it worked out this way. The Giants and Vikings gave us an entertaining game in Week 16, with Greg Joseph hitting a 61-yard game-winning field goal. Justin Jefferson and TJ Hockenson exploded and combined for 242 receiving yards and three touchdowns. However, it is noteworthy that Adoree’ Jackson and Xavier McKinney missed that game. They are among the top two on the team in completion percentage allowed under defensive backs this season.

I’m going to catch the anger here. Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley have been longing for this stage and it must be a bit reassuring to play against a team you faced a few weeks ago. Minnesota’s defense will make New York’s offense look better than it is as the Vikings defense ranks in the bottom five this season in points per game (25.1), yards per game (388.7) and yards per game (5.9).

The choice: Giants +3
Projected score: Giants 24-21

Sunday, 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC)

Recommended game | Cincinnati Bengals v Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson reportedly faces an uphill battle to play on Sunday, so the Bengals will win this game. They have momentum, while the Ravens don’t. Cincinnati just beat Baltimore 27-16 last week. I’m also bringing the Bengals to cover the spread.

The choice: Bengal -8.5
Projected Score: Bengal 28-13

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)

Recommended game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Tom Brady is 7-0 against the Cowboys, while Dallas is 4-5 as a playoff favorite since 1996. In addition, Brady is 7-3 when Vegas makes the mistake of listing him as a postseason underdog. It looks like everything is going in favor of the Buccaneers, but I’m going with whoever I think is the better team.

Maybe the Buccaneers took offense to that win over the Carolina Panthers in Week 17, but I have more faith in Tony Pollard and CeeDee Lamb. Note that I didn’t say Dak Prescott, who finished the regular season tied for the NFL lead in interceptions with Davis Mills despite missing five games.

I predict the Buccaneers will jump to a 10-0 lead before the Cowboys control the second half and get a win. I totally understand not having faith in the Cowboys, but you could say the same about the Buccaneers – even if they have the greatest quarterback of all time.

The choice: Cowboys-2.5
Projected Score: Cowboys 23-20

Division round

(4) Jacksonville Jaguars at (1) Kansas City Chiefs

Here’s a rematch from November, when the Chiefs defeated the Jaguars 27-17. Trevor Lawrence played fine with 259 passing yards and two touchdowns, but his defense struggled to hold off Patrick Mahomes, who threw for 331 yards, four touchdowns and an interception. Congratulations to the Jaguars for coming this far, but I don’t see them upsetting the number 1 in the AFC on the road.

Projected Score: Leaders 30-21

(3) Cincinnati Bengals at (2) Buffalo Bills

The last time these two teams played, we all witnessed the unfortunate Damar Hamlin incident. It looked like we were in for a big gunfight before that scary event happened. Honestly, this could be a bit like the Bills-Chiefs AFC division round matchup last year.

Joe Burrow goes 4-1 in his playoff career if he makes the division round. The Bengals have already made it known that they are a dangerous playoff team as they went 4-0 ATS last postseason – even covering the spread of the Super Bowl loss. However, I think their run ends here against the Bills. Buffalo was a year-round favorite in the Super Bowl, and the Hamlin situation certainly gives the Bills some extra motivation. Buffalo takes a narrow victory in the division round.

Projected Score: Bills 28-24

(6) New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (1)

Another division game after the season. In December, the Eagles blew out the Giants by 26 points, and then Davis Webb held close in the regular season finale, losing 22-16. Philly will rock and Jalen Hurts scores a total of three touchdowns. I’m curious what the spread is in this game, but I’m not going to take the Giants to beat the Eagles in a straight line. There’s a reason they swept the season series this year.

Projected Score: Eagles 27-20

(5) Dallas Cowboys at (2) San Francisco 49ers

It’s deja vu in a way, except this Cowboys-49ers game is being played in California. The key to this game for the 49ers is containing Ezekiel Elliott and Pollard. In the playoffs last year, the two backs combined for just 45 rushing yards. In a weird way, I have more faith in this attack from Purdy compared to Jimmy Garoppolo’s attack, as his chemistry with George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk continues to evolve. Aiyuk is an underrated wideout that is hard to contain downfield. Jerry Jones is furious, while Purdy beats Prescott.

Projected Score: 49ers 23-21

Championship Sunday

(2) San Francisco 49ers at (1) Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, Jan. 29, 3:05 p.m. ET (Fox)

Picking Purdy to upset the Eagles in Philly will be a trendy choice heading into the Championship on Sunday. The 49ers defense will keep Hurts in check, but eventually the Eagles close the game in the fourth quarter and advance to the Super Bowl again.

Projected Score: Eagles 20-16

(2) Buffalo Bills at (1) Kansas City Chiefs (neutral venue)

Sunday, January 29, 6:40 PM ET (CBS)

Please remember that this game is held in a neutral location. OK, if both top seeds in any conference are the final four, it sure is chalky, but here’s where we get upset again. Mahomes threw two interceptions in a four-point loss to Buffalo earlier this season, and I predict he throws two interceptions in a three-point loss in the AFC Championship Game.

Devin Singletary rushed for 85 yards on 17 carries (5.0 yards per carry) vs. the Chiefs, which helped to tie the offense, but all three touchdowns came through the air. The Chiefs, on the other hand, rushed for only 68 total yards, but Isiah Pacheco was not a major part of the offense early in the season. I predict this playoffs rematch will be more like the regular season game as opposed to their January 23 matchup last year. No 78 total runs will be scored, as Buffalo’s defense will be tasked with containing Travis Kelce and the Chiefs’ wide receivers. Bills for the Super Bowl.

Projected Score: Bills 29-26

Super Bowl IVII

(2) Buffalo Bills at (1) Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, Feb. 12, 6:30 p.m. ET (Fox)

In a way, it feels like we’ve been heading here all year. Early in the 2022 season, it was the Bills who looked like the best team in the AFC, then the Eagles in the NFC. Opinions probably fluctuated after Allen’s elbow injury and Hurts’ shoulder injury, but the cream is rising to the top, and that’s what’s happening here.

Allen made only one career appearance against the Eagles, losing 31-13 in 2019. Philly’s running backs combined for three touchdowns, while Allen only threw for 169 yards and two touchdowns. It will be Hurts’ first time playing Buffalo.

So what does this game come down to? I expect a sloppy first half followed by a high-scoring second half. This game goes into overtime, where Buffalo kicks a game-winning field goal on his second drive of overtime. The accounts fulfill the story of the “team of destiny”.

Projected Score: Accounts 33-30 in OT

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